Tuesday / November 9

Tuesday / November 9

US CPI

The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Statistics will release consumer price index data on Wednesday.

Meanwhile Americans' fears of inflation continued to rise in October, hitting a record high for the 12th consecutive month, according to a key poll by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released Monday.

The median expectation is that the inflation rate will climb 5.4% a year later, the highest level since the benchmark was introduced in June 2013, according to the New York Fed's Survey of Consumer Expectations.

I see greater risks to the inflation outlook than last summer, Chicago Fed President Evans said on Monday. “Uncertainties about the outlook could cause the Fed to delay or push forward rate hikes,” Evans said.

 

Inflation in Europe

European Union finance ministers agreed on Monday that the current rise in consumer prices will decline next year and that the high public debt created by the pandemic should be reduced in a way that does not harm economic growth.

Inflation in the 19 euro-sharing countries increased by 4.1% year-on-year last month, up from 3.4% in September. Ministers worry that the increase will fuel stronger wage growth, creating an inflationary spiral.

"While the increase in prices is largely due to temporary factors, this increase is more persistent than anticipated due to the strength of the recovery," the chairman of euro zone finance ministers Paschal Donohoe told a news conference.

"But we continue to expect their changing and lessening over 2022 and into 2023," he said after the ministerial discussions, echoing the views of the European Central Bank.

 

Quarles out

Randal Quarles, vice-president for bank supervision at the US Federal Reserve, submitted his resignation on Monday to leave his post at the end of December.

The vice president of audit was created in 2010 to oversee banking, but remained vacant until Quarles was appointed by former President Donald Trump in 2017.
 

 

US stocks

The S&P500 closed at a record high on Monday after the US Congress approved the infrastructure package Friday.

The broad index rose 0.09% to close above 4,700 for the first time. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.07%.

The U.S. House of Representatives passed the $1 trillion infrastructure bill late Friday, sending it to President Joe Biden to sign the bill. The package, first passed by the Senate in August, will provide new funding for transportation, utilities and broadband, among other infrastructure projects.

Tesla shares fell nearly 5% on Monday after CEO Elon Musk asked his Twitter followers whether he would sell 10% of his stake in the electric vehicle company.

Musk asked his 62.5 million Twitter followers to determine the future of some of his Tesla shares.

CCP Sixth Plenum

A four-day closed meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) central committee, known as the sixth plenum, began in the capital, Beijing, on Monday.

Analysts expect historic decisions from the CCP's secret plenum that will shape future domestic politics, leadership, society, foreign affairs, and military policies.

Hundreds of members of Chinese communist party politics are attending the meeting, which is expected to pave the way for the CCP General Secretary and Chinese President Xi Jinping to consolidate his power with an extraordinary third-term presidency next year.
The sixth plenum lays the groundwork for next year's party convention, at which Xi will seek a third term as leader of the CCP after the presidential term limits were lifted in 2018.

Xi is expected to do a 'determination reading' on the party's history — This was previously only done by the party's founding leader, Mao Zedong, and his economic expansion to the world, Deng Xiaoping.